Impact of Capital Formation on Nigeria Economic Growth: An Econometric Analysis
Abstract
The paper investigated the impact of capital formation on economic growth in Nigeria. The data were collected from Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) statistical bulletin (2023).To analyze the impact of capital formation, stock market capitalization, human capital formation, inflation rate and interest rate on economic growth, the study employed Ordinary least square (OLS) technique. To test for the properties of time series, phillip-perron test was used to determine the stationarity of the variables and it was discovered that gross fixed capital formation and economic growth are integrated of order zero (I(0), Johasen co integration test was employed to determine the order of integration while error correction model was employed to determine the speed of adjustment to equilibrium. The empirical findings suggest that capital formation has positive and significant impact on economic growth in Nigeria for the period under review. This result corroborate the findings of Bakare (2017), Orji and Mba (2020). Stock market also showed a positive impact, while interest rate has a negative impact on economic growth in Nigeria for the period under review but the impact is statistically insignificant. The result further shows a long run relationship between capital formation and economic growth in Nigeria for the period under review. Therefore emphasis should be placed on accumulating capital in Nigeria as this will accelerate growth and development in Nigerian economy. The Nigerian stock market should be deepened more to enhance their contribution to the growth of the domestic economy.
Full text article
References
Adekunle K. A. &Aderemi, A. K. (2012). Domestic investment, capital formation and population growth in Nigeria”; Developing Country Studies, 2(7), 1-15.
Azam, S. T.& Daubree (2017). Capital formation in the nigerian capital market and its effect on economic growth. IIARD International Journal of Economics and Business Management, 4(2), 16-23.
Bakare, A. K. (2023). Impact of Capital formation on the growth of Nigerian economy 1960- 2010: Vector Error Correction Model (VECM), School of Business Studies, Readings in Management and Social Studies, 1(1), 132-154
Beddies, M. G. (1999). Stock market development, capital formation and growth in Nigeria International Journal of Current Research, 33(6), 382-388.
Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) (2104). Communiqué No 98 of the Monetary Policy Committee Meeting of Monday 24th and Tuesday 25th November 2023. Accessed on 12/01/24.
Central Bank of Nigeria (2023) Statistical Bulletin, Abuja, Nigeria.
Bakare A.S (2011); “A Theoretical Analysis of Capital Formation and Growth in Nigeria” Far East Journal of Psychology and Business, 3(1), 12-19.
Becker, A. (2019). Involuntary savings through unanticipated inflation. American Economic Review, 67(1), 800-910.
Caballero, A. O. (1990). Savings, gross capital formation and economic growth nexus in Nigeria. Journal of Economics and Finance, 1(2), 53-60.
Jhingan, M. L. (2006). Capital Formation and Economic Growth in Nigeria, Global Journal of Human-Social Science: Economics, 14(4), 87-92.
Jhingan, M. L. (2006). Economic Development, New Delhi, Vrinda Publications (P) Ltd, p.162.
Modigliani, F. &Brumberg, R (1950). The life-cycle theory, in Deaton A. (ed) Princeton University, www.princeton.edu/~deaton/downloads/romelecture.pdfs
Kynes (1936). Rate of Gross Fixed Capital Formatio to Gross Domestic Product in Nigeria.Webaddress:https://www.proshareng.com/news/Products%20&%20Services/Formation-of-Capital,-Growth-of-the-Nigerian-Economy-and-the-Market---TNI-Q1- E5/25759 Accessed on 18/12/2018
Khan & Reinhart F. O. (2010). An error-correction model of the determinants of private saving in Nigeria. A paper presented at the African Economic Society (AES) Conference, Cape Town, South Africa.
Lucas (1998). Domestic investment boom regimes and external debt accumulation: Lessons from Nigeria’s development experience. Journal of Economic Management, 2(1), 37-54.
Nwachukwu, T. O. & Egwaikhide, C. C. (2017). Theory and Practice of Business Finance in Nigeria. Lagos: Abiodun-Kinson (Nig) Enterprises.
Ndikumana , R. U. (2020). Bank credit and capital formation in Nigeria. Journal of Policy and Development Studies, 10(2), 42-53.
Orji, A. & Mba, D. C. (2021). Impact of capital formation in Nigeria. An Unpublished B.sc Research Project Submitted to the Department of Economics, University of Nigeria Nsukka.
Oloyede, J. A. (2001). Fundamentals of investment analysis. Lagos: Lion Press. Owolabi A, Ajayi, N. O. (2013). Econometrics analysis of impact of capital market on economic growth in Nigeria. Asian Economic and Financial Review, 3(1), 99-110.
Romer, P. M. (1986). Increasing Returns and Long Run Growth. Journal of Political Economy, 94(1), 1002–1037.
Kanu,S. I. &Ozurumba, B. A. (2014). Capital formation and economic growth in Nigeria. Global Journal of Human-Social Science: Economics, 14(4), 44-58.
Nweke, G. O., Odo, S. I., &Anoke, C. I. (2017). Effect of capital formation on economic growth in Nigeria. Asian Journal of Economics, Business and Accounting, 5(1), 1-16.
Shuaib, I. M. & Dania, E, N. (2015). Capital formation: Impact on the economic development of Nigeria 1960-2013. European Journal of Business, Economics and Accountancy, 3(3), 2440.
Sunny, I. O. &Osuagwu, N. C. (2016). Impact of capital formation on the economic development of Nigeria. Fifth International Conference on Global Business, Economics, Finance an Social Sciences (GB16Chennai Conference), 1-3, April 2016.
Trading Economics (2018). Gross Fixed Capital Formation in Nigeria. Web Address: https://tradingeconomics.com/nigeria/gross-fixed-capital-formation Accessed on 18/12/2018.
Ugwuegbe, S. U. &Uruakpa, P. C. (2013). The Impact of capital formation on the growth of Nigerian economy. Research Journal of Finance and Accounting, 4(9), 36-42
Authors
Copyright (c) 2025 Chiedozie Chiedozie, Vivian Onyejegbu

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.