THE PREMIUM OF TRANSPARENCY: ASSESSING THE NON-LINEAR IMPACT OF ESG RATING DISCREPANCIES ON CORPORATE COST OF DEBT DURING MACROECONOMIC UNCERTAINTY
Abstract
Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) ratings have become increasingly influential in shaping corporate financing decisions and stakeholder assessments within global capital markets. Growing reliance on ESG information has enhanced the importance of transparency and sustainability disclosures; however, substantial discrepancies among ESG rating providers continue to raise concerns regarding information reliability, comparability, and credibility. Such inconsistencies may create uncertainty for creditors, particularly during periods of macroeconomic instability when risk assessment becomes more challenging. This study aims to examine the non-linear impact of ESG rating discrepancies on corporate cost of debt and to evaluate the moderating role of macroeconomic uncertainty in shaping this relationship. A quantitative research design employing panel data analysis was utilized. The study analyzed publicly listed non-financial firms observed between 2014 and 2023, using ESG ratings obtained from multiple providers alongside financial and macroeconomic indicators. Non-linear regression models and interaction analyses were applied to assess the effects of ESG rating divergence on borrowing costs. Findings indicate that ESG rating discrepancies are positively associated with corporate cost of debt and that this relationship follows a non-linear pattern. Borrowing costs increase modestly at lower levels of divergence but rise substantially once discrepancies exceed critical thresholds. Macroeconomic uncertainty significantly amplifies these effects, increasing creditor sensitivity to sustainability-related information ambiguity. The study concludes that transparency represents a valuable financial asset, as firms demonstrating greater ESG rating consistency benefit from lower financing costs and stronger creditor confidence during uncertain economic conditions.
Full text article
References
Arianpoor, A., & Rezaei Movahed, F. (2026). The impact of managerial narcissism and managerial overconfidence on corporate reputation: The moderating role of managerial myopia. Journal of Asia Business Studies, 20(3), 754–774. https://doi.org/10.1108/JABS-09-2025-0601
Dai, Z., & Jiang, Q. (2025). Climate policy uncertainty and corporate ESG performance: Evidence from Chinese listed companies. China Finance Review International, 15(3), 578–607. https://doi.org/10.1108/CFRI-05-2024-0272
Erzurumlu, Y. O., Gozgor, G., Lau, C. K. M., Soliman, A. M., & Turkkan, M. (2025). The effects of geopolitical and political risks on corporate ESG practices. Journal of Environmental Management, 386, 125747. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2025.125747
Gargallo, P., Lample, L., Miguel, J., & Salvador, M. (2026). ESG and systemic risk in financial networks: High- vs. Low-rated portfolios in Europe. International Review of Economics & Finance, 109, 105363. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.iref.2026.105363
Geng, Y., Zheng, Z., Yuan, X., & Jiménez-Zarco, A. I. (2025). ESG performance and total factor productivity of enterprises: The role of digitization. Research in International Business and Finance, 77, 102920. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ribaf.2025.102920
Gidage, M., & Bhide, S. (2024). Impact of ESG performance on financial risk in energy firms: Evidence from developing countries. International Journal of Energy Sector Management, 19(4), 913–939. https://doi.org/10.1108/IJESM-05-2024-0021
Hao, J., Guan, Y., Chen, R., & Wu, J. G. (2026). Bank expansion and corporate biodiversity risk exposure: Evidence from China. International Review of Financial Analysis, 109, 104815. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.irfa.2025.104815
Hauch, S. (2026). ESG rating divergence and corporate credit risk. The Journal of Risk Finance, 27(1), 132–157. https://doi.org/10.1108/JRF-05-2025-0236
He, L.-Y., & Wang, L. (2025). Can artificial intelligence curb greenwashing? Firm-level evidence based on large language model. Energy Economics, 152, 108954. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eneco.2025.108954
Hu, J., Zou, H., & Wang, Q. (2025). From disclosure to discrepancy: How open government data alters ESG rating divergence. Government Information Quarterly, 42(4), 102085. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.giq.2025.102085
Hu, Y., & Wang, Y. (2026). The impact of ESG rating divergence on supply chain resilience: The threshold effect of corporate information transparency. International Review of Financial Analysis, 109, 104798. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.irfa.2025.104798
Huang, C., Mirza, S. S., & Zhang, C. (2026). How perceived uncertainty shapes corporate resilience: Evidence from China. Economic Modelling, 157, 107514. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econmod.2026.107514
Jiang, Y., Zhang, X., & Yao, S. (2025). On ESG and corporate employment decision: Evidence from Chinese listed firms in 2009–2022. Economic Analysis and Policy, 85, 854–869. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eap.2025.01.004
Ju, C., Fang, X., & Shen, Z. (2025). ESG rating divergence and stock price crash risk. The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, 76, 102323. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.najef.2024.102323
Kacanski, S. (2025). Impact of the sustainability development goals (SDGs) on the cost of debt: How does the reporting of sustainability goals affect cost of debt? Sustainability Accounting, Management and Policy Journal, 17(2), 484–530. https://doi.org/10.1108/SAMPJ-08-2024-0849
Kong, L., Chen, R., Huang, X., & Wang, F. (2025). Can Industry-Specific Information Disclosure Guidelines Alleviate Corporate ESG Divergence? Evidence from Chinese List Companies. International Review of Financial Analysis, 106, 104529. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.irfa.2025.104529
Li, C., Liu, Y., Xu, R., & Xu, X. (2025). Insuring legitimacy: The role of uncertainty perceptions in shaping corporate insurance demand. Economic Modelling, 151, 107157. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econmod.2025.107157
Li, R., Che, C., & Huang, T. (2026). Financial distress and corporate ESG greenwashing. International Review of Economics & Finance, 106, 104938. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.iref.2026.104938
Li, Y., Chen, X., & Liu, S. (2026). The impact of ESG news sentiment on green bond credit spreads: Signal transmission and market response. Research in International Business and Finance, 84, 103332. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ribaf.2026.103332
Liu, L., Wang, H., Chen, S., & Chen, Z. (2025). Has the divergence in ESG ratings affected institutional shareholding? Finance Research Letters, 83, 107678. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2025.107678
Liu, Y., Huang, H., Mbanyele, W., Wei, Z., & Li, X. (2025). How does green industrial policy affect corporate green innovation? Evidence from the green factory identification in China. Energy Economics, 141, 108047. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eneco.2024.108047
Luo, S., Kang, Q., Qian, Q., Cheng, J., & Xiong, Z. (2026). Towards sustainable development: ESG incentive effect of China’s Intelligent Manufacturing Pilot Demonstration Policy. International Journal of Production Economics, 294, 109761. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijpe.2025.109761
Qian, S., Yang, Z., & Fang, X. (2025). Bank fintech and corporate green transformation quality improvement: Based on greenwashing governance perspective. Economic Analysis and Policy, 87, 401–423. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eap.2025.06.017
Rossi, F., Cebula, R., & Kregar, K. (2025). Religiosity and corporate financial decisions: A literature review. Corporate Governance, 25(8), 216–240. https://doi.org/10.1108/CG-03-2024-0140
Salisu, A. A., AbdulHakeem, A., & Raddaoui, M. (2026). Sustainability uncertainty and the stock market volatility in advanced and emerging markets: The role of the oil orientation of countries. Journal of Climate Finance, 15, 100085. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclimf.2026.100085
Tao, M., Lin, B., Poletti, S., & Roubaud, D. (2025). Greener pastures, steadier returns: ESG ratings and idiosyncratic risk management. International Review of Economics & Finance, 100, 104110. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.iref.2025.104110
Tu, Q., Zuo, L., Liang, A., Yao, Y., & Liu, D. (2025). Does ESG rating divergence decrease enterprise productivity? Evidence from China. Research in International Business and Finance, 77, 102967. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ribaf.2025.102967
Yuan, Z., & Bao, X. (2025). Corporate financing constraints and environmental information disclosure hype. International Review of Economics & Finance, 102, 104284. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.iref.2025.104284
Zaman, R., Fatima, U., Farooq, M. B., & Kazemian, S. (2025). Co-opted directors and corporate climate risk disclosure. Meditari Accountancy Research, 33(7), 118–156. https://doi.org/10.1108/MEDAR-11-2023-2209
Zhao, S., Hunjra, A. I., Roubaud, D., & Zhu, F. (2025). How does perception of economic policy uncertainty affect corporate greenwashing? International Journal of Bank Marketing, 44(5), 869–897. https://doi.org/10.1108/IJBM-09-2024-0590
Zhong, J., Zhang, Y., Wang, L., & Liu, W. (2025). The asymmetric impact of ESG rating disagreement on stock mispricing: Implications for green investment and corporate sustainability. Journal of Environmental Management, 394, 127555. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2025.127555
Zhou, J., & Lei, X. (2025). ESG rating uncertainty and corporate financial misconduct. Journal of Business Research, 189, 115092. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbusres.2024.115092
Zhou, Y., & Zhang, J. (2025). How does anti-unfair competition law reduce enterprises’ financing costs? Finance Research Letters, 85, 108088. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2025.108088
Zhu, Q., Yang, J., & Chen, Y. (2026). Mitigating financial loss from global supply chain ESG regulations: Can ESG performance help? Journal of Business Research, 202, 115765. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbusres.2025.115765
Zuo, W., & Xie, G. (2026). ESG disagreements and firm risk: The perspective of external stakeholders. Journal of Asian Economics, 104, 102170. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.asieco.2026.102170
Authors
Copyright (c) 2026 Wulandari Sungkowo Tri Putri, Syafiq Amir, Haziq Idris

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.